AFL Coaching Chaos: Who's Next? | Cal-culations (2026)

The AFL's Coaching Race: A Deep Dive into the Top Contenders

The 2023 AFL season has been a rollercoaster, with the premiership race narrowing down to just four teams: Fremantle, Sydney, Hawthorn, and Geelong. These clubs have demonstrated depth, balance, and a hunger for success, setting the stage for an intense competition as the season progresses. Meanwhile, the coaching landscape is in flux, with Tasmania, Carlton, and Essendon all in the market for new leaders, adding another layer of intrigue to the season.

The Flag Race: A Four-Team Showdown

Fremantle, Sydney, Hawthorn, and Geelong have emerged as the frontrunners, showcasing their depth, balance, and ability to adapt. Fremantle's clinical win over Brisbane, despite missing key players, highlights their depth and hunger. Sydney's rout of Richmond, coupled with the return of Errol Gulden, suggests a more balanced and cohesive unit. Hawthorn's well-coached and drilled approach, bolstered by the return of Will Day, makes them a force to be reckoned with. Geelong's defeat to Carlton doesn't diminish their chances, given their strong run home.

The Contenders' Challenges

While the top four are strong, other potential finalists have shown chinks in their armor. Brisbane, Gold Coast, Melbourne, the Western Bulldogs, and Adelaide face challenges, with injuries and form fluctuations impacting their flag hopes. The Lions' defensive struggles, conceding a competition-high 129 points over three weeks, are a cause for concern. Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs are in the second or third tier, while Adelaide has been underwhelming.

Coaching Chaos: A Market in Flux

The coaching market is in a state of flux, with Tasmania, Carlton, and Essendon all seeking new leaders. Tasmania's interest in Nathan Buckley, Ken Hinkley, and John Longmire adds to the intrigue. Carlton's bid farewell to Michael Voss and establishment of a coaching subcommittee signals a shift. Essendon's abrupt dismissal of Brad Scott and the need to address the James Hird situation create a complex scenario.

Carlton's Fraser Revolution

Carlton's interim coach, Josh Fraser, has implemented significant changes. The Blues have taken control of the ball, improved their ball movement, and focused on their strengths. Will Hayward's move to the wing, Harry McKay's ruck experiments, and Jagga Smith's midfield time increase showcase a strategic shift. The introduction of Jack Ison and Billy Wilson adds class, while Flynn Young's performance is notable.

North Melbourne's Contract Front

North Melbourne is busy re-contracting players, with Finn O'Sullivan a priority. The club's focus on re-signing players like George Wardlaw and Paul Curtis reflects a commitment to building a strong foundation. O'Sullivan's tough, uncompromising style and leadership potential make him a key target.

Sam Mitchell's Masterclass

Sam Mitchell's strategic move to settle Josh Weddle as a defender has paid dividends. Weddle's consistent performance, highlighted by his Champion Data ratings, showcases the success of this shift. The defensive group's versatility, including players like Barrass, Battle, and Sicily, adds depth.

The Rucks' Scarcity and Solutions

The mid-season rookie draft's selection of six ruckmen underscores the scarcity of genuine ruck options. The AFL's consideration of a national ruck coach role, similar to the former 'Talls Academy', is a potential solution. A dedicated ruck coach, like Todd Goldstein, could help clubs develop and utilize ruckmen effectively, addressing a critical need in the game.

AFL Coaching Chaos: Who's Next? | Cal-culations (2026)

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